Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.083454 0.099069 0.116577 0.137632 0.162233 0.190035 0.223805
2025-02-23 0.061994 0.082846 0.108882 0.143636 0.188657 0.244834 0.320059
2025-03-02 0.046009 0.067592 0.096945 0.139477 0.199167 0.279533 0.395429
2025-03-09 0.036870 0.058631 0.090403 0.139659 0.213457 0.319121 0.480847
2025-03-16 0.029858 0.050936 0.083698 0.137584 0.223039 0.352057 0.559858
2025-03-23 0.025755 0.046762 0.081268 0.141047 0.240654 0.398103 0.663078
2025-03-30 0.021714 0.041810 0.076579 0.139803 0.250098 0.431981 0.750660
2025-04-06 0.018181 0.037019 0.071253 0.136410 0.255070 0.458617 0.828831
2025-04-13 0.015167 0.032585 0.065761 0.131708 0.256792 0.479473 0.898930
2025-04-20 0.013543 0.030549 0.064344 0.134197 0.271602 0.524442 1.015750
2025-04-27 0.012007 0.028394 0.062325 0.135140 0.283450 0.565097 1.128786
2025-05-04 0.010665 0.026399 0.060288 0.135684 0.294443 0.605106 1.244514
2025-05-11 0.009592 0.024844 0.059008 0.137764 0.309108 0.654376 1.384675
2025-05-18 0.008896 0.024055 0.059285 0.143255 0.331611 0.721676 1.567920
2025-05-25 0.007634 0.021622 0.055447 0.139000 0.332630 0.745429 1.665378
2025-06-01 0.006820 0.020168 0.053657 0.139158 0.343339 0.790377 1.811403
2025-06-08 0.005995 0.018514 0.051101 0.137086 0.348633 0.824163 1.936916
2025-06-15 0.005545 0.017810 0.050818 0.140536 0.367243 0.889001 2.136605
2025-06-22 0.004937 0.016524 0.048807 0.139296 0.374366 0.928677 2.283923
2025-06-29 0.004322 0.015082 0.046133 0.135914 0.375718 0.955123 2.403553
2025-07-06 0.003741 0.013619 0.043148 0.131229 0.373113 0.971881 2.502111
2025-07-13 0.003467 0.013092 0.042768 0.133710 0.389515 1.036113 2.720235
2025-07-20 0.003172 0.012435 0.041892 0.134649 0.401908 1.091707 2.922659